منابع مشابه
Tropical cyclone track forecasting techniques: A review
Delivering accurate cyclone forecasts in time is of key importance when it comes to saving human lives and reducing economic loss. Difficulties arise because the geographical and climatological characteristics of the various cyclone formation basins are not similar, which entails that a single forecasting technique cannot yield reliable performance in all ocean basins. For this reason, global f...
متن کاملSystematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting
The long-term goals of this project, which is being pursued in collaboration with R. L. Elsberry and M. A. Boothe, are to improve not only the quantitative accuracy of official tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts, but also the qualitative meteorological utility of those forecasts. Needed improvements in the accuracy of official TC track forecasts include: (i) reducing the severity and frequen...
متن کاملExperimental Dynamical Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity at IRI
The International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) has been issuing experimental seasonal tropical cyclone activity forecasts for several ocean basins since early 2003. In this paper the method used to obtain these forecasts is described and the forecast performance is evaluated. The forecasts are based on tropical cyclone–like features detected and tracked in a low-resolution c...
متن کاملBayesian Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting and Risk Analysis
Improved methods for tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting and risk analysis are the end products of this project leading to the wider use in the mitigation of the devastating impacts of tropical cyclones. Singledisciplined approaches in TC intensity forecasting by meteorologists and in risk analysis by social scientists so far have not seen satisfactory results. This is because of the in...
متن کاملP1.3 Applications of Lightning Observations to Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
The next generation geostationary satellite system starting with GOES-R will include a geostationary lightning mapper (GLM). The GLM will provide nearly continuous times and locations of total lightning with an accuracy of about 10 km over most of the field of view of GOES-east and –west. This coverage will include nearly all of the regions where tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic and nort...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
سال: 2019
ISSN: 2225-6032
DOI: 10.1016/j.tcrr.2019.10.003